Polymarket Trader

chenmx

@chen914601

0xea7f0cb6af9580ff84874130ddf5f9c0146f949c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $92.36
Realized PnL: $76.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.7%
Current value: $52.25
Potential payout: $155.28
Potential profit: $103.03
Multiplier: 2.97x
User PnL: $27.25

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $40.11
Potential payout: $41.05
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 155.28 shares
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Yes 97.9% 30.63 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 95% 41.05 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 67% 34.21 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 98% 52.08 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 96% 52.08 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 83% 24.1 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 48.4% 16.51 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93.3% 18.24 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

No 93.2% 18.24 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 76% 34.21 shares
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Yes 98.8% 47.57 shares