AmanoHina

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $6.82
Potential payout: $186.86
Potential profit: $180.04
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$6.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $136.08
Potential profit: $136.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or higher on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $67.9
Potential profit: $67.59
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $59.08
Potential profit: $52.28
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $50.03
Potential profit: $48.23
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $11.87
Potential payout: $49.45
Potential profit: $37.58
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $40.58
Potential profit: $40.05
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$10.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $37.57
Potential profit: $29.68
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36.26
Potential profit: $36.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $35.58
Potential payout: $35.63
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $31.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $11.37
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $23.62
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $34.84
Potential profit: $31.87
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $31.4
Potential profit: $31.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $30.83
Potential profit: $24.82
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $12.23
Potential payout: $29.46
Potential profit: $17.23
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $28.73
Potential profit: $17.67
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $8.9
Potential payout: $27.38
Potential profit: $18.48
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $26.86
Potential profit: $21.62
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$5.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $26.02
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $25.77
Potential profit: $14.95
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $24.98
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $18.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $15.68
Potential payout: $21.94
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $20.12
Potential profit: $5.63
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$0.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on April 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 46°F or higher on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?