0xea97...a471

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.07
Potential profit: $615.07
User PnL: -$80.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.58
Potential profit: $277.58
User PnL: -$60

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.34
Potential profit: $197.34
User PnL: -$20.23

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $19.34
Potential payout: $96.93
Potential profit: $77.59
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.66

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.43
Potential profit: $91.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $18.62
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $50.34
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$1.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

San Francisco Giants position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $32.63
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80.1%
Current value: $40.23
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $10.03
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elche CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.93
Potential profit: $45.93
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $20.85
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Graham Platner drop out by July 6?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $41.6
Potential payout: $41.62
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $38.16
Potential payout: $40.47
Potential profit: $2.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $38.08
Potential payout: $39.98
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.08

New York Mets position

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$20

Dalayna Hewitt position

ITF Kurume: Katie Swan vs Dalayna Hewitt

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.56
Potential profit: $38.56
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Under position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

Real Oviedo position

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.82
Potential profit: $30.82
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.62

Avalanche position

Wild vs. Avalanche

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.35

No position

Will Mohun Bagan Super Giant win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.78

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.67

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.91

Yes position

Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.5

No position

Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-09?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.48

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.82

Alexander Blockx position

Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.56

Golden Knights position

Utah vs. Golden Knights

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.84

Stars position

Stars vs. Wild

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.66

Athletics position

Spread: Athletics (-1.5)