Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.8
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Polymarket Trader
Guest1337
0xeaac2cc89f5e9a8c7f58b00bacd84441692d6f59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.6
- Realized PnL
- $85.39
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.9
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.48
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.82
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
N
No position
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US bank failure by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US bank failure by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes 25% 10 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 49% 10 shares
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 75.9% 10 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 69% 5 shares
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes 6.5% 20 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 48.6% 19.99 shares
- Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on November 21?Yes 1% 120 shares