Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $11.36K
- Potential profit
- $9.02K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$3.33K
Polymarket Trader
shadyoak
@shady_oak1
0xeac2d1c7cad70c542fd65c08657750d3d721176d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.38K
- Realized PnL
- $9.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $9.02K
- Potential payout
- $11.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Gable Steveson position
UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $347.2
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $61.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Wizards position
Spread: Nets (-1.5)
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $778.96
Tahir Abdullayev position
UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.7
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.86
Texans position
Colts vs. Texans
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.13
No position
Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.28
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.22
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.59
No position
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.85
No position
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.77
Kavanagh position
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.62
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.45
Grizzlies position
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.05
Yes position
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.77
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.22
Yes position
Over 80% "For" on the Jupiter burn proposal?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.84
No position
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.99
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 91.3% 1,020.18 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 90.7% 1,268.08 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 89.3% 896.31 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 90.8% 991.26 shares
- UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)Gable Steveson 92.6% 191.41 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento (Welterweight, Prelims)Tahir Abdullayev 43% 990.7 shares
- Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?No 92% 29.81 shares
- Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?Yes 99.9% 10 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 90% 1,783.89 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 58.6% 504.73 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No 58.9% 251.53 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.9% 62,459.22 shares