Polymarket Trader

Bgdn97

0xeac8834bdc33255f7ed9fbc8812b7e5e459b2a9d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $250.01
Realized PnL: $2.44K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $4.38
Potential payout: $282.33
Potential profit: $277.96
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$6.62

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $181
User PnL: -$62.41

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $111.9
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $8.1
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $9.9

No position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $51.33
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $1.67
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.55
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$13.05

No position

Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $39.71
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $24.71
Potential payout: $29.59
Potential profit: $4.88
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$1.42

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $16.54
Potential payout: $22.81
Potential profit: $6.27
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $4.22

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.58

No position

Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.6

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.66

No position

Will Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.94

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.3

No position

French election called by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.2

No position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.95

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.47

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.33

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.31

No position

Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.87

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.4

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Grok 4.20 released by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 79.9% 100 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 67.5% 24.02 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 32.5% 125 shares
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 97% 53 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 54% 15 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 53.9% 10 shares
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 92.5% 39.99 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 88.3% 29.59 shares
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 84.7% 100 shares
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 3.9% 282.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Down 80% 14.78 shares