Polymarket Trader

impressionsvanity

0xead6b9c28a5d4731a323c3f44f864aaa098f911f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.97
Realized PnL: $2.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

India Tigers position

Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $190
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$125.4

No position

Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $622.48

Olympiacos B.C. position

Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.17

Yes position

Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $219.18

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.36

Yes position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.87

Yes position

Remote IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $157.6

Yes position

Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.66

Yes position

Will "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.16

No position

Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.92

Yes position

Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.68

South Dakota Coyotes position

South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. South Dakota Coyotes

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.84

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.2

No position

Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

No position

Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.12

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.34

Yes position

Will CR Brasil win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.72

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $47.81

Yes position

Will Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.25

No position

Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

No position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.75

Yes position

Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24%
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $26.55

No position

Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.61

Yes position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Yes 11% 13 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

No 84% 571 shares
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?

No 56% 224 shares
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?

No 56% 529 shares
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

No 19.1% 945 shares
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers

India Tigers 83% 380 shares
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?

No 58% 753 shares
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?

No 18.6% 945 shares
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?

No 84% 573 shares
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

No 38% 1,032 shares
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

No 82% 511 shares
Will more than 350 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?

No 88% 622 shares