Polymarket Trader

0xEAE43463B1c973e9b780C3EFC98D4d59B831A100-1766713222564

0xeae43463b1c973e9b780c3efc98d4d59b831a100

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: -$474.77
Win rate: 9.1%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $411.98
Potential payout: $27.47K
Potential profit: $27.05K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$87.97

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $79.33
Potential payout: $6.9K
Potential profit: $6.82K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $3.46

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $21.88
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.23K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $195.17
Potential payout: $5.66K
Potential profit: $5.46K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $105.42

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $45.31
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$4.69

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $307.74
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $1.68K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $7.6

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $27.24
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $44.44
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $10.93

Yes position

Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $617.58
Potential profit: $617.58
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $15.59
Potential payout: $115.5
Potential profit: $99.91
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$14.85

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.13
Potential profit: $39.13
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 42.8%
Current value: $11.92
Potential payout: $27.84
Potential profit: $15.93
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $10.28
Potential payout: $23.36
Potential profit: $13.08
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $9.34
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $10.08
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $8.46
Potential profit: $8.37
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$10.45

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$16.96

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$95.41

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$289.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 6,250 shares
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 42% 23.36 shares
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Yes 23% 39.13 shares
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 35.9% 27.84 shares
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 64% 15.63 shares
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 16.39 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

No 20% 50 shares
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.8% 313.11 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 771.42 shares
Will France finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 23% 76 shares
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 6,000 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 1,350.7 shares