0xEaE43E9ba1C5d833ADc1C99A3aA5c0FCc596Ad95-1779195166156

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$2.63

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.21K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$45.65

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 57.5 and 58 million views in week 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $892
Potential profit: $892
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.76
Potential profit: $688.76
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.04
Potential payout: $675.37
Potential profit: $672.33
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$15.37

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.81
Potential profit: $408.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 57 million views in week 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.14
Potential profit: $355.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.63
Potential profit: $351.63
User PnL: -$6.57

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.96
Potential profit: $335.96
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events in Rockland County?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.09

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.42

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.12

Kent position

T20 Blast: Kent vs Sussex

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Rwanda position

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Rwanda

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Royal Challengers Bengaluru position

Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET