Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
A7fold
@sergey_bali_
0xeaea46a35999a3661ef657031ba5d8e03c1b9995
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $184.77
- Realized PnL
- $84.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $40.69
- Potential payout
- $95.75
- Potential profit
- $55.06
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $21.54
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $18.73
- Potential payout
- $49.3
- Potential profit
- $30.57
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $8.73
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $11.54
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $26.92
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $13.68
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $15.74
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $13.06
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.81
- Potential profit
- $16.81
- User PnL
- -$1.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $15.93
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $9.34
- Potential payout
- $14.82
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.44
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $6.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.4
- Potential profit
- $5.4
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $5.17
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.28
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?Yes 29% 5.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 20% 95.75 shares
- Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by June 30?No 91.6% 3.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.6% 2.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 1.28 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 16.6% 6.02 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 88.4% 2.26 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown 49% 5.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETDown 66% 5.06 shares