Polymarket Trader

0xeAF99b178C97dC8C7F028eA07Aa99Ce44398d43a-1770192847591

0xeaf99b178c97dc8c7f028ea07aa99ce44398d43a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.77
Realized PnL: $39.31
Win rate: 54.5%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $14.09
Potential payout: $56.36
Potential profit: $42.27
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $15.68
Potential payout: $53.97
Potential profit: $38.29
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $3.32

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.57
Potential profit: $37.57
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.32

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $10.66

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.6%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?

Yes 22.9% 53.97 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Yes 23.9% 56.36 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.2% 48 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.3% 48.01 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

No 21.3% 37.57 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 48.01 shares
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 45% 17.78 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 34.7% 4.08 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 18.9% 7.69 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.2% 10 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 68% 5 shares