Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.7
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$99.7
Polymarket Trader
0xEAFd4752844Ba70ddCfB9Ad26870E3d19E653d87-1770545598543
0xeafd4752844ba70ddcfb9ad26870e3d19e653d87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.98
- Realized PnL
- $154.58
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.12
- Potential profit
- $111.12
- User PnL
- -$80
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.76
- Potential profit
- $50.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.61
- Potential profit
- $30.61
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $23.48
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- -$18.16
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $21.49
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$13.86
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $18.87
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.21
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 18.87 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 69.8% 21.49 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 79% 25.32 shares