Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $97.44
- Potential profit
- $78.68
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Polymarket Trader
yfhjjh
@baikaishui853
0xeb014bcc290d590719d14018e95b66a669d84022
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $130.16
- Realized PnL
- $333.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.2%
- Current value
- $27.67
- Potential payout
- $86.06
- Potential profit
- $58.39
- Multiplier
- 3.11x
- User PnL
- $12.67
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $17.19
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $68.53
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $83.39
- Potential profit
- $70.01
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.97
- Potential profit
- $25.97
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $14.6
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.58
- Potential profit
- $13.58
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.2%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $13.5
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $13.39
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $12.87
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $7.99
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.21
- Potential profit
- $11.21
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.73
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.28
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 68.5% 14.6 shares
- Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77.7% 12.87 shares
- Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 74.1% 13.5 shares
- Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 74.7% 13.39 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 89.2% 11.21 shares
- Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 44% 12.98 shares
- Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 71% 14.08 shares
- Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 64% 15.63 shares
- Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83% 12.05 shares
- Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.2% 11.6 shares
- Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85% 11.76 shares