No position
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $223.13
- Potential payout
- $421
- Potential profit
- $197.87
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$117.88
Polymarket Trader
grafer
0xeb1868cee876ae686f6be54f01eaf40999ad2372
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $379.52
- Realized PnL
- $5.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $151.47
- Potential payout
- $374
- Potential profit
- $222.53
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $76.67
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.34
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $728.02
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $398.19
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Police" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $388.69
Yes position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.78
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $324.5
Yes position
Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.21
No position
Will Harlequins win?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $281.52
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.02
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.43
No position
Will "Instagram" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.95
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $219.12
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.43
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.32
Mid-America Christian Evangels position
Mid-America Christian Evangels vs. Campbell Fighting Camels
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $137.16
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $131.41
Yes position
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.44
Yes position
Will Venstre win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.4
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.99
Yes position
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $88.89
No position
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.17
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kevin Warsh in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.73
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.1
Yes position
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.66
Yes position
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 69% 72 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 68% 82 shares
- Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?No 66% 56 shares
- Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 96.4% 119 shares
- Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 96.2% 120 shares
- Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 96.4% 142 shares
- Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 96.4% 557 shares
- Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?No 96.4% 55 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 84% 372 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 84% 376 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 84% 383 shares
- Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 86% 1,131 shares