Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.01
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
initialCNM
0xeb230a1d0c9a1034bfa2b3bb1af6f22d8fc168e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07
- Realized PnL
- $7.21
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "Easter" or "Egg" during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pilot" or "Crew" or "Staff" 5+ times during Monday news conference?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 72% 1.39 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 10.31 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp 51% 1.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown 61% 1.59 shares