No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $652.94
- Potential payout
- $705.88
- Potential profit
- $52.94
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $52.94
Polymarket Trader
Dipsomaniac
0xeb23a48cfac106deaf2c79414c87cb32e40562e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.16K
- Realized PnL
- $3.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $641.46
- Potential payout
- $674.16
- Potential profit
- $32.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $41.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $497.02
- Potential payout
- $595.24
- Potential profit
- $98.21
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $467.39
- Potential payout
- $467.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $37.39
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $328.13
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $46.88
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $28.13
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $319.94
- Potential payout
- $340.91
- Potential profit
- $20.97
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.94
No position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.87
- Potential profit
- $254.87
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $144.12
- Potential payout
- $164.71
- Potential profit
- $20.59
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $111.04
- Potential payout
- $129.87
- Potential profit
- $18.83
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.95
- Potential profit
- $121.95
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Timmy Burch make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $101.33
- Potential profit
- $101.33
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.39
- Potential profit
- $96.39
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will turnout be between 36% and 40% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.92
- Potential profit
- $40.92
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Patrick Bertoletti win the 2025 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.2
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.57
Yes position
Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.7
Yes position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.46
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.08
Yes position
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.47
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win by 20% or more?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.88
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.11
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.59
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.95
Yes position
Will turnout be between 44% and 48% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.44
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.93
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.41
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.3
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.35
No position
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.22
No position
Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.54
No position
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.87
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.67
Yes position
Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.58
No position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
No position
Macron out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 40.2% 149.25 shares
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 92% 467.39 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 47.06 shares
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No 85% 117.65 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 77% 129.87 shares
- Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?No 94.9% 210.75 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 94% 319.15 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 67% 149.25 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 84% 238.1 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 595.24 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 88% 340.91 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 705.88 shares