Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $29.05
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Polymarket Trader
0xeb2a...1f0c
0xeb2a3b68c08e081e647cc5fa19e4e41884cd1f0c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $60.08
- Realized PnL
- $20.84
- Win rate
- 68.2%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $18.07
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Y
Yes position
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $6.17
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $3.46
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.47
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $7.05
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.07
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.59
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
N
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares
- Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 13 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of July 13 2026?Yes 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 60% 8.13 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No 28% 6.75 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?Yes 47% 9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 77% 6.08 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes 22% 22.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 6.08 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 45% 8.13 shares