Polymarket Trader

lishu

0xeb30c428ef727b53764d12dc6b7b0c40de255057

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $67.5
Realized PnL: $349.96
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $82.5
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $19.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$11.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.42K

Yes position

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.02

No position

Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.13

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.84

Timberwolves position

Celtics vs. Timberwolves

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$68

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.41K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 74% 0.58 shares
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 80% 20,075 shares
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Yes 63.9% 12.23 shares
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Yes 51% 10,256 shares
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Yes 85.6% 6,141 shares
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Yes 79.2% 6,141 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

No 93.7% 53.02 shares
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

No 94% 53.02 shares
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?

Yes 59% 10 shares
Celtics vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves 39.7% 171.15 shares
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?

No 90.4% 74.26 shares
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?

Yes 95% 63.16 shares