Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $25.06
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Polymarket Trader
Primer-intento
0xeb3fdd9d85ff51423eee5fac4cc890a8d20f313b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $71.18
- Realized PnL
- $851.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966.44
- Potential profit
- $966.44
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $303.03
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.34
- Potential profit
- $269.34
- User PnL
- -$56.85
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $46.12
- Potential payout
- $223.9
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- Multiplier
- 4.85x
- User PnL
- -$53.88
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $78.95
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $203.86
Yes position
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.55
Yes position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.12
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $56.84
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.29
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.63
Yes position
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.61
Yes position
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.97
Yes position
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $23.98
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.46
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
Yes position
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-16?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.38
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes 41% 22.19 shares
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? AND Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? AND Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?1.2% 256.67 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 63.5% 163.07 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 16.3% 613.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 17% 352.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 863 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 862.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 63% 269.84 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 50% 473.68 shares
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?Yes 61.3% 163.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 33% 303.03 shares
- Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes 49% 16.17 shares