No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $127.74K
- Potential payout
- $135.82K
- Potential profit
- $8.08K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $8.62K
Polymarket Trader
78979879879879
0xeb490d0534bb68b4c2ce139b219a728cd2c3693e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.43K
- Realized PnL
- $19.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.05K
- Potential profit
- $115.05K
- User PnL
- -$90.55K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.99K
- Potential profit
- $55.99K
- User PnL
- -$47.52K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $20.41K
- Potential payout
- $23.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $17.39K
- Potential payout
- $20.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.94K
- Potential profit
- $11.94K
- User PnL
- -$10.57K
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $7.88K
- Potential payout
- $9.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $7.39K
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $75.93
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.83K
- Potential payout
- $7.47K
- Potential profit
- $634.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $511.53
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $6.29K
- Potential payout
- $6.35K
- Potential profit
- $60.37
- User PnL
- $850.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.08K
- Potential profit
- $6.08K
- User PnL
- -$5.07K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $4.95K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $44.96
- User PnL
- $980.44
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $4.52K
- Potential payout
- $4.73K
- Potential profit
- $212.93
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$21.05
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $113.98
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $187.1
Casper Ruud position
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- User PnL
- -$251.99
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $3.38K
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $215.8
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $141.87
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $108.97
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $355.07
Yes position
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $305.62
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $125.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $199.85
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $106.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- User PnL
- $126.14
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$899
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$581
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $960.24
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $189.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $52.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.01
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.05
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.18
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.95
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240.62
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.95
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.56
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.63
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.31
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.06
No position
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.07
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.73
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $83.66
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.04
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.81
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.64
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $25.32
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 95% 315.79 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 96.7% 103.41 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes 93.8% 367.77 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 94% 106.39 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 93.7% 2,018.14 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 93.5% 139.04 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 94.4% 301.91 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No 5.6% 200 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 6.5% 777.89 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 8.2% 282 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No 13% 11,629.79 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No 8.5% 500 shares