Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $201.5
- Potential payout
- $31K
- Potential profit
- $30.8K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$231.91
Polymarket Trader
gabriel5555
0xeb4b81a57dd209147b6dc99c03f843201a515166
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.17K
- Realized PnL
- $13.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $30.87
- Potential payout
- $12.35K
- Potential profit
- $12.32K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$278.04
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $121.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$140.5
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $301.6
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$182.19
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7.34
- Potential payout
- $2.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.09K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$26.61
Yes position
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $153
- Potential payout
- $1.8K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$137.99
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$103.5
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $53.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $946.5
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $689.87
- Potential profit
- $684.7
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.25
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $475.25
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $399.4
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$43.3
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $385.99
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$62
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $93
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $306.99
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$72.2
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $265.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$48.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Current value
- $38.3
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $161.69
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $27.7
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $172.29
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.35
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$47.35
Yes position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $87.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $915.45
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $634.68
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $630.69
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $536.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $510.51
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.69
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $426.62
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.49
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.09
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.6
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.01
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.01
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $166.48
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.39
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 71,301.35 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 99.99 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.5% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 150,000 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 300 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 79.2% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.1% 100,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 2% 1,000 shares