Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$68.13
Polymarket Trader
50kcasestudy
0xeb54562f0132336a725d1303f6110136161dd452
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.14K
- Realized PnL
- $3.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $60.43
- Potential payout
- $6.04K
- Potential profit
- $5.98K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$34.83
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- User PnL
- -$224.83
Yes position
Will Solana reach $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$110.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$68.96
N
No position
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$45.92
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$87.82
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$124.84
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- User PnL
- -$27.51
No position
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $60 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.96K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- User PnL
- -$65.24
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $48.83
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $70.31
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.8K
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.69
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$550.62
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$121.54
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$40.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$71.46
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$21.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $628.07
No position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $27.23
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $981.39
- Multiplier
- 37.04x
- User PnL
- -$22.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.92
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.53
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.52
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.8
No position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.27
No position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.8
Yes position
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.4
N
No position
IR Iran to score first vs. New Zealand?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.11
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.61
N
No position
Uruguay to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.87
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.04
No position
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.44
No position
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.54
No position
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-05-31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
No position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.51
No position
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.32
No position
Will São Bernardo FC win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 86°F or higher on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.21
No position
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Yes position
Will Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.55
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-05-29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo 49% 6.12 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No 94% 26.55 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No 94% 26.55 shares
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee BrewersCleveland Guardians 89% 27.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 19?No 88.5% 27.45 shares
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?No 53% 46.87 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 91% 140 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 98.8% 25.05 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 99.8% 25 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No 62% 10.16 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox 20% 125 shares
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox 20% 125 shares