Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $30.52
- Potential payout
- $33.23
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.48
Polymarket Trader
Noblewoodsq
0xeb55f4960c9d346a128067c6b366c07860f6f40a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.52
- Realized PnL
- $18.45
- Win rate
- 93.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.07
- Potential profit
- $25.07
- User PnL
- -$7.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$425 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96.3% 33.23 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 39.72 shares
- Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 96.1% 34.33 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 98.9% 33.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 33.92 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.2% 34.36 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 34.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 96% 31.44 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.6% 31.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.4% 34.4 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 34.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99% 10 shares