Yes position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $30.53
- Potential payout
- $132.75
- Potential profit
- $102.22
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Polymarket Trader
Nostatsone
0xeb60799f54316cc7de2344436fc87ee1670df6bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.38
- Realized PnL
- $75.13
- Win rate
- 73.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.58
- Potential profit
- $18.58
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.9
- Potential profit
- $17.9
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $10.04
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.66
- Potential profit
- $8.66
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.34
- Potential profit
- $8.34
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.23
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $2.6
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.02
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes 40.8% 132.75 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 24% 8.33 shares
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes 9.9% 17.4 shares
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes 23% 17.39 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 6% 62.5 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes 0.8% 619.62 shares
- Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes 71.5% 41.99 shares
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?Yes 0.1% 500 shares
- Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?No 47% 66.66 shares
- Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?Yes 32% 62.5 shares
- Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?Yes 1.6% 619.63 shares