Y
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.2%
- Current value
- $14.44
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Polymarket Trader
Norahs5
0xeb68b338abb1e713e4b56d16341b66eaf3d1ccf2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.44
- Realized PnL
- $13.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.64
Yes position
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.79
Yes position
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will CD win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be 90% or higher?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 38-39°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or higher on February 18?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Kelvin Buck be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 80 million or more views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes 98.6% 20 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 4?Yes 99.9% 32 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?No 99.9% 15 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June?No 98.8% 15 shares
- Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No 99.8% 17 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No 99.9% 17 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?Yes 99% 16 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 16?No 99.9% 35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 99% 18 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 10?No 97% 18 shares
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?Yes 99% 19 shares