Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.42K
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $26.58K
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- -$10.08K
Polymarket Trader
Nobo
@dummyythinking
0xeb7456f7f5429912a6135caae264cc2d368efad6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.06K
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.6%
- Current value
- $26.58K
- Potential payout
- $33K
- Potential profit
- $6.42K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.08K
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Current value
- $60.14
- Potential payout
- $119.23
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $763.26
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.6
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.18
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.91
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.9
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.4
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.24
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.92
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.84
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.68
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.34
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.82
Yes position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.21
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.38
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.54
Yes position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.83
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.57
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.65
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Wicked position
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.95
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
Yes position
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.2% 170.14 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 99.6% 33,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.9% 33,621.34 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 99.7% 33.65 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 99.8% 33,551.25 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.8% 28,171.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?Yes 99.7% 5,346.37 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes 99.6% 18,532.83 shares
- Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?Yes 99.5% 9,549.61 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 27,903.66 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 99.9% 27,822.72 shares