No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.91
- Potential payout
- $100.54
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Polymarket Trader
favouriteposition
0xeb8be5c94c12469bef35028b3ef55e6951bfb0fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.82
- Realized PnL
- $137.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $68.25
- Potential payout
- $72.15
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $46.66
- Potential payout
- $47.59
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.06
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.87
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 22 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on July 23?
Ends Jul 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 95.8% 72.15 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.1% 95.66 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 100.54 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.6% 47.59 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.9% 227.76 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94.7% 227.59 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 99.8% 125.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 89.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 190.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 66% 190.09 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 42% 201.06 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 92% 201.06 shares