Yes position
Will 450-500k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $728.57
- Potential profit
- $728.57
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
Bavarian-legenda
0xebb3883d782d7cd38de618beeeb293635a52129d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.4
- Realized PnL
- $51.74
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US sanction Ukraine before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $157.14
- Potential profit
- $157.14
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.36
- Potential profit
- $75.36
- User PnL
- -$23.74
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.39
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Abstract token launch by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Pepe ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Victory" three or more times in his speech after the election is called?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94.9% 27.4 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No 93.9% 18.82 shares
- Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?No 94.7% 26.4 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 96.7% 12.41 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22?No 96.7% 16.55 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No 97.6% 16.66 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?No 91% 8.35 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?No 84% 16.67 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No 91.7% 12 shares
- Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No 99.5% 10.22 shares
- Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?No 69.6% 10.23 shares
- Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?Yes 62% 16.13 shares