No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $13.36
- Potential payout
- $20.56
- Potential profit
- $7.2
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
Polymarket Trader
asuno
0xebc02eedf78bc4569a9f7acb383d5956eb281ca4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $25.05
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $6.53
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 96% 7.18 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 1.7% 10.98 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?No 72.2% 20.56 shares
- Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 45.5% 10.99 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Yes 11% 19.6 shares
- Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?Yes 84% 5.95 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?Yes 17% 8.06 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 69.6% 7.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?Yes 59% 3.39 shares