No position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $242.74
- Potential profit
- $235.46
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$179.63
Polymarket Trader
0xeBc509FcAbEB386113eF24b1D321759A9Df57044-1771771391514
0xebc509fcabeb386113ef24b1d321759a9df57044
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $389.67
- Realized PnL
- $935.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $184.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $99.2
- Potential payout
- $100.61
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $98.29
- Potential payout
- $100.55
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.25
- Potential profit
- $69.25
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.01
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $360-$365 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.12
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.16
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.26
No position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.2
No position
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.32
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $245 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $390?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Meta (META) close above $540 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $275 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Yes position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $350 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on July 1?Yes 99.5% 100.55 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on July 1?Yes 99.4% 100.61 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on July 1?No 77% 259.74 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 25?No 99.8% 500.78 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 25?Yes 93% 215.05 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 25?No 97% 206.19 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99% 1,120.3 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on April 8?Yes 98% 55 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) close above $245 on April 7?Yes 98.6% 70.98 shares
- Will Trump say "Gay" this week? (April 5)No 97.9% 122.57 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $350 on April 6?Yes 98.5% 72.08 shares
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 2?No 99% 30.3 shares