Polymarket Trader

ai.samo

0xebc5c4f596c8e80e0e52ec0e5be62b9e401db493

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.07
Realized PnL: -$1.64K
Win rate: 11.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.03K
Potential profit: $12.03K
User PnL: -$7.78K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $715
Potential profit: $715
User PnL: -$200.2

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.99
Potential profit: $420.99
User PnL: -$79.99

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $308
Potential profit: $308
User PnL: -$40.04

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $27.07
Potential payout: $259
Potential profit: $231.93
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$53.22

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134
Potential profit: $134
User PnL: -$60.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.68

Yes position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.34

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.17

Yes position

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.14

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$64.9

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$79.97

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$79.99

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.01

Yes position

Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.54

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.23

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.01

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$120.05

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$179.75

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 1,557.14 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 73% 500 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 74.2% 9,973.02 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 26.4% 1,839.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Yes 19% 10 shares
Iran leadership change by May 31?

Yes 5% 1,000 shares
Iran leadership change by April 30?

Yes 6% 1,200 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 108.38 shares
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Yes 4.6% 25 shares