Polymarket Trader

0xebd2...a8ac

0xebd2e3090c47ef5d7aa82144237cf93d3ab3a8ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $47.02
Realized PnL: $27.5
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $11.96
Potential payout: $119.05
Potential profit: $107.08
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$8.04

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $45.53
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $16.32
Potential payout: $46.31
Potential profit: $29.98
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.05
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $8.13
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 74.9%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $1.7
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?

No 56% 1.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 59% 1.69 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 99% 10.58 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 85% 10.59 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 46% 4.35 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 77% 6.49 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 48% 8.13 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 74% 13.51 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 174.41 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares