Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $7.8
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Polymarket Trader
0xebd7...7f7c
0xebd792d8a09c0a0c99748252c5089a6a88667f7c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $6.7
- Realized PnL
- -$14.21
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $4.88
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 99.7% 4.01 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 98.9% 3.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 98.4% 3.05 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 99.3% 6.77 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 76% 6.78 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 37% 15.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?Yes 78% 3.85 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 25?Yes 97.1% 4.12 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes 2.4% 207.13 shares