Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.31
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Polymarket Trader
0xEBEfC58C19A99238A2eEfa664E92fD9889d5DF68-1768606094491
0xebefc58c19a99238a2eefa664e92fd9889d5df68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.1
- Realized PnL
- $4.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?No 59% 1.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 4?No 92% 1.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 4?No 96% 1.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 93°F or below on July 4?No 97% 2.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 4?No 93.6% 1.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 30?No 97.3% 2.11 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 1.09 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No 99% 1.02 shares
- Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?No 95.8% 2.09 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 2.13 shares