Polymarket Trader

iwantilonmusk

0xec1ac459a6e7f4c018799e779a5e246af4ce7d2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.34
Realized PnL: $88.52
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $8.33
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $141.68
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08
Potential profit: $4.08
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $3.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.02
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 17.8%
Multiplier: 5.63x
User PnL: $66.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $25.34

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 38.3%
Multiplier: 2.61x
User PnL: -$2.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.5% 28.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 50 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.6% 7.14 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.6% 7.14 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.6% 7.14 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 20.6% 7.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.2% 255.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 25 shares