Polymarket Trader

0xEC1Fe51724FeFc0b238514E88837dbcaA07Bd325-1772737525030

0xec1fe51724fefc0b238514e88837dbcaa07bd325

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $166.96K
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.19K
Potential profit: $81.19K
User PnL: -$23.9K

Yes position

Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.81K
Potential profit: $41.81K
User PnL: -$2.4K

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35K
Potential profit: $12.35K
User PnL: -$10K

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $5.26K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.96K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $323.35

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.09

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.3

Yes position

Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.78

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.82

No position

Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.93

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.68

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.72

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.76

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.41

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$54.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.09

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.84

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.21

Yes position

Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$158.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 4,473.36 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 119,311.98 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 99,089.7 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 149,445.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 44% 11,368.1 shares
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 1,419.43 shares
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 5.1% 1,944.24 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Yes 7% 71,910.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 77,535.27 shares
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?

Yes 19% 5,263.16 shares
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Khamzat Chimaev 81% 12,345.68 shares
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 9,496 shares