Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $286.92
- Potential payout
- $301.55
- Potential profit
- $14.63
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $151.07
Polymarket Trader
ksdfjoih09240
0xec47215b619a6704bd6179c7c4fdaca21ef70c22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $719.07
- Realized PnL
- $62.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $258.19
- Potential profit
- $248.25
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $236.01
- Potential payout
- $240.46
- Potential profit
- $4.45
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $202
- Potential profit
- $201.29
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $11.36
- Potential payout
- $194.27
- Potential profit
- $182.91
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $171.31
- Potential profit
- $170.88
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $166.54
- Potential profit
- $164.46
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $20.51
- Potential payout
- $150.23
- Potential profit
- $129.72
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $145.87
- Potential profit
- $138.07
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $16.17
- Potential payout
- $137.58
- Potential profit
- $121.41
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $134.9
- Potential profit
- $134.16
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $108.46
- Potential profit
- $106.29
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $6.58
- Potential payout
- $94.66
- Potential profit
- $88.08
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$3.64
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $66.02
- Potential payout
- $75.45
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $65.69
- Potential profit
- $64.67
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $64.71
- Potential profit
- $63.77
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $60.48
- Potential profit
- $60.09
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $11.71
- Potential payout
- $59.29
- Potential profit
- $47.58
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $48.56
- Potential profit
- $48.49
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $36.16
- Potential profit
- $35.96
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $36.16
- Potential profit
- $35.96
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $34.42
- Potential payout
- $34.89
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $32.11
- Potential profit
- $30.2
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $30.76
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.57
No position
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Multiplier
- 6.94x
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?
Ends Oct 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Under position
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Under position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Saudi Arabia position
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 25.02 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 12.17 shares
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.7% 12.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.8% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 93% 10.01 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 95.7% 10 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 77.92 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 10.84 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 43.37 shares
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 9.18 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2% 32.57 shares
- Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes 14% 5.41 shares