Polymarket Trader

pm.mm

0xec49bd0f31414effa1107091cedb319e37785975

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.88
Realized PnL: $45.37
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $15.45
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $21.3
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q2 operating revenue be above $7.5B?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.97

No position

Will Trump praise King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.5
Potential profit: $19.5
User PnL: -$1.76

No position

Will Victor Marx win the Colorado Republican Governor primary by less than 1%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $4.64
Potential profit: $2.11
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $4.02
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Valantis FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.04
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $3.82
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $1.89
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $1.49
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $2.51
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.23

No position

Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $2.25
Multiplier: 6.21x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Dplus Esports Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $1.14
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.0B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 16.4%
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $6.09

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $5.17

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.69

Yes position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 50.8%
Multiplier: 1.97x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.1%
Multiplier: 3.98x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Delta Q2 passenger load factor be between 85% and 87%?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 22-June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 75.4%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 74.7%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Valantis FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

No 69% 30 shares
Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?

Yes 35% 25.36 shares
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Yes 2.2% 20 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

No 59% 29.99 shares
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

Yes 41% 7.68 shares
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

No 65% 30 shares
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?

No 13% 30 shares
SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 17% 30 shares
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

No 71% 30 shares
Will Trump praise Dana White by July 31?

Yes 59% 30 shares
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

No 70% 10 shares
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Yes 36% 30 shares