Polymarket Trader

Revector

0xec4c00cfc33b9f35d4e228a3b35711c83d9c6994

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $849.64
Realized PnL: $435.52
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $277.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $18.5

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $228.64
Potential payout: $279.34
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $4.61

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.9

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $16.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.73
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $13.14
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.14
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $13.86
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump sign 30 or more executive orders in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.35

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?

Ends Jul 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.32

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 1,250-1,499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Xi Jinping out before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Pump.fun reach $0.007 before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 500-749 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon 250-499 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 76% 10 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 97.1% 100 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

No 80.2% 249.34 shares
AI bubble burst in 2026?

No 80.1% 30 shares
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

No 98.2% 80 shares
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

No 98.1% 20 shares
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Yes 86% 20 shares
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?

Yes 7.8% 20 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Yes 21% 10 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Yes 74% 10 shares
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Yes 20% 8 shares
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?

Yes 74% 8 shares