Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Polymarket Trader
neocaramels
0xec4e0203699dc4946be3fd8cf1056b297132b430
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $13.55
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 48% 17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 46% 17.51 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 86 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 66 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 8% 66 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 16% 57.75 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 83% 31 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.3% 154 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 8.4% 154 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes 28% 148 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 2 shares