Polymarket Trader

mcfaddenportwood

0xec4fbf5dcae6368171718b0a560d81904c53161c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.84
Realized PnL: $14.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $5.02
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $9.06
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $12.93
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $2.54
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $11.53
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $13.58
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $13.86
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $14.07
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $14.07
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: $1.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Apr 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Solana above $200 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

No position

Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Solana hit $275 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 5?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Solana hit $400 by February 28 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $124,000 on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will XRP reach $3.40 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 14.07 shares
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 93% 10.63 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 13?

Yes 99.9% 2,574.03 shares
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 94% 10.64 shares
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 13?

Yes 99.9% 7,150.18 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 81.4% 1.23 shares
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.60 on December 17?

No 99.9% 23.42 shares
Will the price of Solana be less than $100 on December 16?

No 99.9% 23.4 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 15?

No 99.9% 23.38 shares
Will XRP reach $2.80 December 8-14?

No 99.9% 23.35 shares
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on December 11?

No 99.9% 23.33 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 96.6% 23.31 shares