Polymarket Trader

0xEC512F57052492DbeB9Fe42AA3D02655e552c413-1756842472495

0xec512f57052492dbeb9fe42aa3d02655e552c413

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $98.58
Realized PnL: $126.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $38.06
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $90.97
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $12.29
Potential payout: $98.68
Potential profit: $86.4
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $48.46
Potential profit: $42.16
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.8%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $27.68
Potential profit: $17.79
Multiplier: 2.80x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $23.18
Potential profit: $21.8
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $13.82
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $7.61
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $14.36
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $4.85
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.05
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 18.7%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.39
Multiplier: 5.35x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $2.7
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.38
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $1.33
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.58

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.21

Yes position

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

No position

Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.13

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Nike be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Ball winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 1.33 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 69% 1.45 shares
England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Yes 22% 9.09 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 13% 38.46 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 14.97 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Yes 53% 41.82 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 54% 9.26 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74.2% 6.73 shares