Polymarket Trader

Caoloss

0xec550c246e7893bd523e236a8af03f24022fa300

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.54K
Realized PnL: $9.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.68K
Potential payout: $4.65K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $811.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $0.54
User PnL: $181.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.78
Potential profit: $777.78
User PnL: -$105

No position

Will Scotland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $746.21
Potential payout: $777.3
Potential profit: $31.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $16.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.55
Potential profit: $608.55
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $303.03
Potential profit: $303.03
User PnL: -$109.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$5.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.04
Potential profit: $248.04
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.35
Potential profit: $230.35
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$18.75

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.58
Potential profit: $169.58
User PnL: -$40.7

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $11.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $88.05
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: -$0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.06
Potential profit: $32.06
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $20.82
Potential payout: $22.02
Potential profit: $1.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $17.18
Potential payout: $17.59
Potential profit: $0.41
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.04

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.06

No position

Will Paloma Valencia place 1st in the Antioquia Department?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 100 shares
Will Scotland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.9% 777.3 shares
Will Cape Verde reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.6% 22.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 24?

Up 1.8% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Up 34% 14.71 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 55% 2,068.16 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 83% 173 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 83% 900 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 16.6% 500 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?

Yes 77.6% 600 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 80.3% 957.58 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 17% 746.4 shares