Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $115.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $984.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$434.5
Polymarket Trader
onepapper
0xec5e4ac37c02a68b4185583050c8d8c2a3196ede
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- -$266.67
- Win rate
- 18.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $984.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $115.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $434.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $835
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $163.09
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $29.91
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $66.59
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $29.92
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $163.09
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$66.59
No position
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $117.06
- Potential payout
- $122
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $50.77
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.05
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.69
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.21
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47.62
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$87.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 21% 120.35 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 16.8% 307.85 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 33% 485.92 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 29% 1,012.19 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No 19% 409 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?No 99.7% 51 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 87% 60.99 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98% 1,052.5 shares
- Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 84% 60.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Yes 7% 3,699.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes 3.3% 9,903.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 27% 1,500 shares