Yes position
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $31.19
- Potential payout
- $415.92
- Potential profit
- $384.72
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$18.72
Polymarket Trader
Gn00500873
0xec6cdba0c85dd354a19918e949395a362f60be95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.45
- Realized PnL
- $17.06
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.82
- Potential profit
- $46.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $7.84
- Potential payout
- $46.12
- Potential profit
- $38.28
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$12.16
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.61
- Potential payout
- $32.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $17.61
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.8
- Potential payout
- $19.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.82
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes 33% 12.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 410.83 shares
- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes 12% 168.5 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?No 90% 22.47 shares
- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes 12% 247.42 shares
- Ethereum flipped in 2026?No 38% 26.32 shares
- Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026?No 50.5% 19.8 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes 21.4% 46.82 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No 98% 15.31 shares
- Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up 70% 11 shares
- Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?No 20% 25 shares