Polymarket Trader

0xBardak

0xec7c55fb1814698621b8fc48fe12efe2025e7ad4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $27.68
Realized PnL: $2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $51.11
Potential profit: $51.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $27.41
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$2.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.4
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $5.75
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.25
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $6.75
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $8.44
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $2.3
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $6.42
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $2.12
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $1.77
Potential payout: $4.98
Potential profit: $3.21
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C or higher on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 26?

Yes 99.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?

Yes 99.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 26?

Yes 99.8% 6.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?

Yes 99.5% 28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 36°C on June 26?

Yes 99.6% 4.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?

Yes 99.8% 5.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 26?

Yes 99.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?

Yes 99.9% 3.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 25?

Yes 99.6% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?

Yes 99.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 26?

Yes 25% 19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 25?

Yes 17% 1.7 shares