Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $397.91
- Potential profit
- $378.01
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $2
Polymarket Trader
Biver52
0xec829edacf53dad6fdfb89f752ca7b8004a26eaa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $296.54
- Realized PnL
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $21.89
- Potential payout
- $397.91
- Potential profit
- $376.03
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $6.77
Yes position
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $295.03
- Potential profit
- $294
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $3.86
- Potential payout
- $286.2
- Potential profit
- $282.34
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $6.39
- Potential payout
- $284.21
- Potential profit
- $277.82
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $280.4
- Potential profit
- $269.6
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$12.44
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $277.64
- Potential profit
- $258.21
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $274.38
- Potential profit
- $258.33
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $271.27
- Potential profit
- $270.59
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-12 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $20.34
- Potential payout
- $271.19
- Potential profit
- $250.85
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $17.57
- Potential payout
- $270.34
- Potential profit
- $252.77
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $48.42
- Potential payout
- $269
- Potential profit
- $220.58
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $35.66
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $265
- Potential profit
- $260.23
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Yes position
Will Concrete launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $257.92
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.04
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $255
- Potential profit
- $240.98
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $13.84
- Potential payout
- $251.66
- Potential profit
- $237.82
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.81
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $244.19
- Potential profit
- $235.89
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Yes position
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $32.5B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $225.01
- Potential profit
- $219.05
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $223.71
- Potential profit
- $217.55
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $223.09
- Potential profit
- $222.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
Yes position
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $10.78
- Potential payout
- $222.25
- Potential profit
- $211.47
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.29
- Potential payout
- $206.35
- Potential profit
- $200.06
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $204.99
- Potential profit
- $203.56
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $36.2
- Potential payout
- $201.11
- Potential profit
- $164.91
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $16.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $171.09
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $142.8
No position
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.93
Yes position
Will Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.58
Yes position
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.55
Yes position
Will Delroy Lindo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.18
No position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Yes position
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.6
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.48
Yes position
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.7
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $106.12
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.57
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.27
Yes position
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $102.17
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
Yes position
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.26
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.27
Yes position
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on February 9?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.7
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will the Patek Index hit $104,000 (LOW) by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 1% 5.32 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes 7% 100 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the RI-01 House seat?Yes 6% 100 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.4% 100 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?Yes 4% 100 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?No 6% 100 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.6% 15 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Will Will McBride win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 0.3% 36.75 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 6% 6.38 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes 6% 100 shares