Polymarket Trader

rodddiaz1

0xec86f274936a82f0e117de378ee979c5112e229a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $507.68
Realized PnL: $697.66
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $422.6
Potential payout: $761.44
Potential profit: $338.84
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$21.68

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $57
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $543
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $411.95
Potential profit: $411.95
User PnL: -$172.3

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$17.7

LOUD position

Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.18
Potential profit: $68.18
User PnL: -$15

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $54.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Leviatán Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $27.78
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $17.78

FULL SENSE position

Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $25.93
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Canada recession before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.54

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.79

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.2

Yes position

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.3

No position

Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will AJ Brown be traded?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.71

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Global Esports position

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.6

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

No position

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.3%?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.05

Yes position

Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.09

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$23

76ers position

76ers vs. Pelicans

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.65

Yes position

Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Leviatán Esports 36% 27.78 shares
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

Global Esports 66% 30 shares
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage

FULL SENSE 27% 25.93 shares
Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Yes 10% 50 shares
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

LOUD 22% 68.18 shares
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 68.8% 435.88 shares
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 48.2% 83.05 shares
Canada recession before 2027?

Yes 68.9% 435.38 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 57% 500 shares
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)

Thunder 37% 54.05 shares
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs

Leviatán Esports 47% 42.55 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 3% 200 shares