Polymarket Trader

Marcelios

0xec994b20560511fad3d4d75824e8c7c8e0f8962f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.27
Realized PnL: $284.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $7.27
Potential payout: $7.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will KJP say "democracy" during press briefing?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.4

Yes position

Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot?

Ends Jan 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.11

Yes position

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will Trump announce U.S. purchasing crypto on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Will Trump announce U.S. purchasing crypto on Friday?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.73

Yes position

Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.62

Yes position

Will Biden pardon Hillary?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will Kanye launch a coin in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?

Ends Mar 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

No position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,200 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?

Ends Mar 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will 'Minecraft' gross between 110m and 120m on opening weekend?

Ends Apr 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

iPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July?

Yes 12.1% 20 shares
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

No 40% 5.23 shares
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?

No 42% 5.24 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

Yes 2% 14.99 shares
Deel CEO out in April?

Yes 55% 11 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

No 95.5% 20 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

Yes 4.2% 9.4 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

Yes 4.1% 24.39 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

No 95.9% 20 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

No 96.1% 20 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

No 96.1% 20 shares
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?

No 95.6% 20 shares