Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $97.5
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $12.9K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.4K
Polymarket Trader
StarMaster
@_starmaster
0xeca0c0888e34df59589c67fbe53dc7f298b5e8f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.48K
- Realized PnL
- $50.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.9K
- Potential payout
- $13K
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- User PnL
- $6.4K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $550
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$118.99
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.68K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$39.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $106
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.89K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $226
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $738
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.26K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $26
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $514
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $375.11
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $104.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $560
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.5K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $494.99
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $547.19
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.62K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $374.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $894.86
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $293.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $83.75
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $166.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$53.75
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $970.07
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$63.6
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $870.04
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$188.1
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $98
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $94.5
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $322.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $889.96
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $30.04
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $847.36
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $652.65
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $63.75
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $530.83
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $964.47
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$491.73
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $631.27
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $618.77
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $30.01
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $304.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $945.63
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$22.59
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $981.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $268.75
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $86.25
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $162.07
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$252.66
Yes position
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.62
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $946.34
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $54.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $524.66
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $440.22
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $560.28
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $23.99
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $955.82
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $44.51
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $352.28
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $239.52
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $760.56
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $835.01
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $258.18
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $545
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $455
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $140
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $860
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$170
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $795
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $205
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $515
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $485
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $152.5
Yes position
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $304.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $695.5
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $865
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $135
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $522.5
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $875
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $125
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $125
No position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $619.99
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $380
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$18.08
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $639.99
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $359.99
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $594.76
- Potential payout
- $999.6
- Potential profit
- $404.84
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$7.39
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $905.07
- Potential payout
- $999.53
- Potential profit
- $94.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$15.87
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $886.47
- Potential payout
- $999.4
- Potential profit
- $112.93
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $285.18
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $89.24
- Potential payout
- $997.05
- Potential profit
- $907.81
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$101.43
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $164.75
- Potential payout
- $915.29
- Potential profit
- $750.54
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$226.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $475.17
- Potential payout
- $856.16
- Potential profit
- $380.99
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$142.4
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $321
- Potential payout
- $856
- Potential profit
- $535
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $93.82
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $524.64
- Potential payout
- $754.99
- Potential profit
- $230.35
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $187.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $947.29
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $930.88
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.58
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.77
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $868
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.06
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $857.49
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.49
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $767.36
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.23
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.09
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.55
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $707.05
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $696.78
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.97
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $678.92
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $658.89
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.69
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $654.72
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $650
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $631.43
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $586
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $584.07
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.34
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $582.29
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.7
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $553.91
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $535.46
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.76
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $525.05
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $512.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?Yes 13.9% 200 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 21.8% 200 shares
- Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?No 60% 750 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 78.1% 200 shares
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 10% 250 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 11.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 84.3% 45.99 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 78% 200 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 4% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?Yes 86.5% 500 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 86.9% 499.75 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 250 shares